Restoring the Competitive Edge: California's Need for Redistricting Reform and the Likely Impact of Proposition 77
Publication Date: September 2006
Publisher(s): Rose Institute of State and Local Government
This report from the Rose Institute of State and Local Government at Claremont McKenna College finds that Proposition 77 would result in a significant increase in competition in California elections. The Institute's research finds that Proposition 77, if enacted by voters, is likely to create ten competitive Congressional districts, four new competitive Assembly districts, and seven new competitive State Senate seats. The number of safe Democratic and Republican seats is likely to be reduced evenly: by five each for Congress and the Assembly, and by four Democratic and three Republican seats in the State Senate. The report also finds that districts drawn under Proposition 77 would create two new Latino voting-age-majority districts; significantly reduce the divisions of counties compared to California's current districts; and greatly increase district compactness. The report goes on to examine the threats to representative democracy under the incumbent-protection gerrymanders of 2001.